Monday, September 13, 2010

Season 10 - AL Power Rankings (halfway through the season)

AL Power Rankings to represent the AL in the World Series.

-Rankings are based on expected win pct (run differential), standings, and stats.

Please, please, pleaseeeeeee don’t take this seriously. This is purely for fun and is just to make this blog better.

The AL is definitely head and shoulders above the NL in depth with good teams. Some of the “pretenders” would definitely be “contenders” in the NL. Some good teams are going to just miss the playoffs.

Favorite
1. Philadelphia Owls – Dominating performance through the first half of the season, especially considering they are playing against some great AL competition and their run differential shows that their record should be even higher.

Contenders (Chance of making the playoffs and better chance of going deep in the playoffs)

2. Salem Beavers – Second in the AL West, but have had some bad luck in one run games. The AL West is home to the top two hitting teams in the AL. They might need to improve their fielding to get to that next level.

3. Anaheim Trojans – A little bit of a surprise ranking the Trojans below the Beavers since they are leading the West and I’m sure ajwalton will use this as bulletin board material for the locker room. The Trojans are a very good team and will be a force come the playoffs.

4. New York Red Storm – Solid team, but is mainly going after a wildcard berth as Philly is up 12 games in the division. They have a decent shot at making a run though because as a team they are very well rounded. #2 in the league in pitching and defense while still packing some punch with a bat.

Pretenders (Chance of making the playoffs and everything would have to go perfectly to go deep in the playoffs) – Jut to re-iterate what I said above, several of these teams below are very good. It just looks like the four above are the cream of the crop.


5. Oakland Golden Bears – The top pitching team in the league definitely could make a run in the playoffs, but everything would need to break right. The playoffs are always a crap shoot though and to go in with the top pitching staff could give them a good chance.

6. Little Rock Razorbacks – Playing a bit above their heads right now as they are 18-9 in one run games which they have leveraged to take the NL South division lead. Probably will come back to Earth down the stretch as it would be surprising to see a team winning 2/3 of their one run games. They’ll need to get better pitching to keep the lead.

7. Fargo Bison – I could probably cut and paste Little Rock’s description here. Currently 21-7 in one run games which has them playing over 100 points above their run differential would indicate. They are below average in all three major categories and near the bottom in pitching.

8. Portland Ducks – Scrambling after Fargo right now for the division and is hoping the Bison do come back down to Earth. The two are currently neck and neck in run differential so the Ducks have some work to do to make up the 5 game lead.

9. New Orleans Bayou Bengals – The Bengals have been very unlucky and are currently playing 50 points below what their run differential indicates. They aren’t completely out of the division race, but the three teams in it will probably beat themselves up a ton and without many weak teams in the AL, it may be tough to make up the ground. They can hit the ball well, but are currently last in the league in fielding which has hurt them.

10. Jackson Rebels – One of the top pitching staffs in the league will battle the Bengals to make up the ground in the South. Maybe try to acquire a bat or two to strengthen the lineup?

Is it next season yet?

11. Minnesota Golden Gophers – After last seasons “well someone has to win the AL North” and subsequent surprise run to the world series, it looks like the rebuilding job continue in Minnesota under bighead34’s watchful eye.

12. Seattle Huskies – It is tough being in the one of the most competitive divisions in the world, but lefty is focusing on putting one foot in front of the other while developing his organization.

13. Charleston Cougars – If you look at the standings then you may be wondering why the Cougars are so low, but once you take a look at run differential you’ll see that work remains to be done. The Cougars were once a world series participant and dgtrache is working hard to get them back.

14. Chicago Blue Demons – Arte is on record as saying this is a full rebuild and recently traded longtime Demon Hawk Wagner.

15. Cincinnati Bearcats – Allright took over this squad who hadn’t won many games in a long time. This season isn’t look great, but there is a lot of talent in the organization.

16. Nashville Commodores – Disappointing season for the Commodores, but meteu doesn’t expect the second half to be as bad as the first. Work had to be done on this team after the previous owner had left the minors in shambles.

Friday, September 10, 2010

Season 10 - NL Power Rankings (halfway through the season)

NL Power Rankings to represent the NL in the World Series.

-Rankings are based on expected win pct (run differential), standings, and stats.

Please, please, pleaseeeeeee don’t take this seriously. This is purely for fun and is just to make this blog better.

Please also keep in mind that this is a brand new segment that I'm sure will go under several revisions. This is strictly for entertainment value and to promote discussion and debate.

The AL Rankings are on the way. The AL clearly has more elite teams than the NL. The NL pretty much has Syracuse.

Favorite
1. Syracuse Orange – One of the top NL teams from the past few seasons is off to another awesome start with a winning streak of 14 earlier in the season and currently on a 10 game streak. The Orange are in the top ten in key categories in pitching, hitting, and fielding. Currently hold the NL East lead by a huge 11 games.

Contenders (Chance of making the playoffs and better chance of going deep in the playoffs)

2. Kansas City Wildcats – Currently leading the NL West by a healthy 7 games. No other NL West team is currently over .500 though so they are sitting pretty right now. The Wildcats strength is their pitching, but it would help if their field improved behind them which would make their pitching even more formidable.

3. Charlotte Tar Heels – The Tar Heels weren’t expecting to contend for another season, but once they saw they were in the race they made a couple moves to solidify their playoff chances. The Heels are currently above average in the three main categories, but do not excel in anything.

4. Memphis Tigers – Memphis is riding their hitting to their lead in the NL South, but are currently in a three way tussle with Texas and Huntington. Maybe some moves for some pitching or defense is on the horizon?

5. Texas Mustangs – The Mustangs are one of the top hitting teams in NCAA and their goal is to outslug their opponents every time they take the field.

6. Huntington Thundering Herd – Great hitting team but bottom of the barrel pitching wise. Hurricane is usually one of the most active traders so could a trade for some pitching be just around the corner?


Pretenders (Chance of making the playoffs and everything would have to go perfectly to go deep in the playoffs)

7. Detroit Wolverines – Someone has to win the NL North and it will either be the Wolverines or the Blue Hens, but unlike in seasons past, that winner looks to be the lone playoff participant this season. The Wolverines are currently playing approx 100 pct points above their expected win pct which is thanks to their 18-8 in one run games. That can’t last forever…can it?

8. Dover Fightin Blue Hens – The Blue Hens are one of the top fielding teams in the world, but need to improve the other facets of their game to move up in the power poll.

9. Buffalo Bulls – jpveronn is on record as saying its playoffs or bust and the Bulls have been scrappy, but they are barely keeping their heads above water right now. They just made a move to shore up their bullpen so we’ll see if that helps them get over the hump.

Is it next season yet?

10. Arizona Sun Devils – 5 straight seasons of making the world series and it looks like the party I over. Does Arizona need to enter a full time rebuild mode or does ownership feel this is just a blip on the radar?
11. Columbus Buckeyes
12. Boise Broncos
13. Louisville Cardinals
14. Helena Grizzlies
15. Austin Longhorns
16. Iowa City Hawkeyes

Season 10 Amateur Draft First Round Recap

Names are linked to their profiles

This is based off of my ADV Scouting so I'm sure others will see things differently. After doing this review, this was a much deeper draft than the last couple seasons as it wasn't til very late in the first round where I came across guys that probably won't at least be decent contributors in the big leagues.

1. Danny Smoltz - Power hitting infielder that will crush lefties and hold his own against righties...can't go wrong with that. It will be interesting to see where he ends up defensively. he doesn't project to even an average SS, but with his offensive skills, it might be prudent to live with him at SS. Or he could be a possible gold glover at another infield position.

2. Marino Terrero - Pretty nice player although his OVR looks like its inflated a bit by his "yellow" ratings. I'm guessing allright didn't see some of the guys that went after Terrero or he would have grabbed them. Or I could be completely wrong. Terrero will be a nice middle of the lineup guy with a good combo of average, power, and speed.

3. Terrence Shields - Awesome hitter and I bet arte was ecstatic he fell to him. There really arne't any holes in his swing. Should be a perennial Silver Slugger candidate and in some seasons could hit well enough to challenge for MVP status.

4. Chris Dawkins - College pitcher who should hit the pro's sooner than later. I'm guessing by Season 12 he'll be in the Buckeyes rotation.

5. Lance Jodie - Jodie is still deciding on whether he wants to go play pro hockey or not. I've heard of dual baseball and football athletes, but never a baseball and hockey athlete. Pretty impressive. If Jodie does sign, he'll be a really nice pitcher down the line. If not, Memphis will pick up a top 5 pick for next season.

6. Nolan Boone - Another college pitcher who should see the pros sooner than later. A nice combination of splits and pitchers should make him a solid starter for New Orleans.

7. Gary Frey - First off, the Tar Heels were hoping Frey would drop to them. Frey is a really nice pitcher and the argument could be made he is the best pitcher taken yet considering his excellent control, righty split, velocity, and first pitch. Great value at #7. You're officially on my list though sirius. (just kidding...maybe)

8. Sonny White - The Heels quickly got over the disappointment and snatched up White who was ranked right after Frey. White joins a nice stable of SP prospects in the Tar Heels system. Although his STA is a bit low, the Heels hope his DUR will make up for that as his splits and pitches project very nicely.

9. Bret Hutch - Yet another pitcher goes in the top ten and another solid selection. Although it seems like 3 pitch SP are hit and miss, Hutch seems to have enough solid projections in other key ratings that he will be a nice addition to the Rebels rotation.

10. Robin Raines - The top relief prospect in the draft goes next to round out the top ten. Raines should be a lock down closer if he progresses well. For the first time in NCAA history, it looks like there arne't any "surprises" in the top ten.

11. Doug Sullivan - The steal of the draft. Sullivan dropped because of his signability issues, but Fargo rolled the dice and boy did it pay off. One of the many reasons why mikejuggalo is such a good owner. Sullivan should compete for MVP's down the road.

12. Rocky Chance - Hasn't signed yet although it does look like an initial offer was made and the player demanded more. No word yet from Charleston if they are going to agree to Chance's demands. If they do, they will be getting a decent player, but would be much better if he projected to above average defensively as good hitting, good defensive SS are in such high demand.

13. Bucky Arnold - Another really nice selection. Although Arnold doesn't have any great pitches, they are all above average and combined with his splits, he should be a nice pitcher for a long time. Great value for bighead here.

14. McKay Benes - First of all, great name. Secondly, interesting pick. Always scary to take a guy with sub 50 health this early, but he has nice talent. He is probably a reliever with that STA/DUR combo, but could be a great 2 inning closer.

15. Brian Smith - Solid if not spectacular choice. Smith is also an awesome bunter. Looks like he could be a great #2 hitter in the future while playing a solid 2B.

16. Devon Browning - Another nice hitter goes to Helena and an example that OVR isn't everything. As long as he avoids the injury bug he should be a nice hitter for the Grizzlies. This is definitely a deeper draft than we've had the last couple seasons.

17. Tommie Osbourne - Would really like this pick if the splits were reversed, but still a nice mid round selection considering his nice control and excellent first pitch.

18. Alex Pimentel - Love, love, love this selection and probably rank it right below Fargo's selection as top value. Great hitting catchers that are also decent defenively seem to be really tough to grab in HBD and to get one at pick 18 is excellent. Even better is he'll be ready pretty soon as he is coming out of 3 seasons in college.

19. Robert Frederick - Wish his defense was higher, but then he probably would have soon earlier. He'll have to max out his defensive ratings to be used at SS. He is a scrapper at the plate, but probably doesn't have the bat to overcome his defense at SS and doesn't have the power you typically would like to see at 3B.

20. Howie Ryan - Interesting pick and can't wait to see how he does. Splits are excellent and if he had two great pitches he probably would have been grabbed earlier. He has one very good pitch and another average one. It seems like these guys have had mixed success so we'll see how Ryan progresses.

21. Joe Alexander - He hasn't signed yet. He'll be a decent middle of the rotation guy if he does.

22. Jorge Torres - Definitely is not a SS and is currently playing 2B in rookie ball. Could be a good third baseman as well. Has a nice bat although splits are only average.

23. Tony Acevedo - Would really like this pick if his range was a bit higher, but still could work out nicely. Its not easy to find good defense, good hitting CFers and if Acevedo maxes out his potential he could be exactly that. Nice pick as we enter the latter third of the first round.

24. Mike Rivers - Rivers should be able to contribute in the big leagues. His pitches will hold him back, but his splits and other ratings should make him a decent SP as long as you don't expect crazy numbers out of him.

25. Rodrigo Sanchez - Probably a reliever with his STA/DUR combo, but will be a very good reliever with his splits and pitches. Always nice to find any type of pitcher of this caliber this late in the first round. Should definitely lead the Mustangs bullpen one day.

26. D.J. Jennings - Still hasn't signed although he'd be a nice pick if he did as a solid CF prospect. If he doesn't than arte will get this pick next season. Decent gamble.

27. Ken Hooper - My first though was to say orobably the first guy I'd say doesn't have a chance at the bigs except for as a long reliever or more likely as a mop up specifically because of his low splits. However, he has two pitches that project to high 90's and three other decent pitches. Can't wait to see how he develops.

28. Chris Aaron - Solid selection and will definitely be able to help out the bullpen one day.

29. Buzz Beirne - Great value and a prototypical closer. Could have gone 10 - 15 spots higher and I wouldn't have blinked with the splits and pitches combo. Will save a lot of games in his career.

30. Coco Laroche - Currently playing SS, but has no chance of doing that long term, but is perfectly suited for a corner IF/OF position and has a decent enough bat to make it work.

31. Eric Wells - I don't see Wells doing much except at best a 25th guys on the roster. Glove isn't good enough and only has an average bat, but could be useful as a pinch runner.

32. Perry Abbott - Nice pick. Will hit for average and good power. I'm guessing the Trojans were perfectly content with Abbott falling to them here.

33. Turk James - Long reliever or mop up guy at best with his splits and pitches.

34. Al Moreno - Very nice pick although he won't pitch many innings. The innings he does pitch he should be very good. He is also a candidate for "what the heck is wrong with this guy?" when his ERA and WHIP are really high one season because of such a small sample size.

35. Albie Alvarez - Don't see Alvarez making much of a dent on the Orange's 40 man roster let alone big league team.

36. Phil Worrell - Could progress to be a decent reliever although like Moreno above, he won't pitch many innings.